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Macroeconomics insights report

Trends, opportunities, and market growths

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January 2025 Asset Allocation: Diverging Opportunities

This report examines the impact of the Trump’s administration and the resulting market expectations. With the market being unsure of Trump’s macroeconomic policy, there are vast opportunities for discretionary investments. At the same time, US exceptionalism has caused a wider rift in geoghraphical asset returns, while this means that US assets are very attractive, other opportunities are abound and careful analysis would allow investors to enter trades that are less crowded. Explore actionable insights in this month’s analysis.

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1Q25 Perpsective: Global and Regional Macro Trends

The 3Q24 Macro Outlook highlights the US Federal Reserve hawkish guidance, sticky US Inflation, and our forecasts regarding US macro decision pathways. Chinese weakness and policy maker pivots were discussed. Bank of Japan’s Governor Ueda’s confusing stance has imbued some market uncertainty in the Japanese rates market although we do think that the hike pathway will proceed as expected. Cambodia’s growth has been stronger than expected, seasonal festivities help boost consumption although it has reduced export volume.

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October 2024 Asset Allocation: Navigating Markets Amid Political and Economic Shifts

This report examines the impact of the U.S. election on global markets, from tariff expectations to shifts in asset allocation. Key topics include the Trump administration’s potential policy direction, bond market volatility, USD strength, and the evolving narrative for emerging markets. Precious metals and geopolitics also take center stage. Explore actionable insights in this month’s analysis.

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3Q24 Perspective: Global and Regional Macro Trends

The 3Q24 Macro Outlook highlights slowing global growth as consumption weakens and inflation eases. The U.S. faces election-driven uncertainty, while China’s stimulus struggles against structural challenges. Japan sees fragile recovery amid political shifts. Cambodia shows export growth but grapples with weak tourism and investment. The report underscores policy-driven growth amid fiscal and geopolitical challenges.

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September 2024 Asset Allocation: Global Shifts and Local Opportunities

This month’s report explores critical macroeconomic trends, including the interplay of global liquidity, equity market dynamics, and the evolving bond landscape. It also highlights regional opportunities such as Cambodia’s SEZ expansion, gold’s bullish trajectory, and challenges in the garment and hospitality sectors. Dive deeper to understand the shifting paradigms shaping global and local markets.

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August 2024 Asset Allocation: Global Trends and Strategic Opportunities

This month’s insights delve into the dynamics of global and emerging markets, focusing on shifting equity valuations, bond yield trends, and the evolving role of cash and money market products. Highlights include Cambodia’s economic resilience, the impact of geopolitical shifts on gold prices, and cryptocurrency adoption amidst macroeconomic uncertainties. Download the report for in-depth analysis.

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